The Fed reduces target rate 75bp to a range of 0% to 0.25%
16/12/08 21:53
The Fed reduced the target rate 75bp to a range of 0%
to 0.25% and was very aggressive in its accompanying
statement. The decision was unanimous, as the FOMC
said they were committed to keeping the rate at
"exceptionally low levels" for "some time." They did
not mention quantitative easing, but they remained
committed to using unconventional policy tools to
fight the recession. Possible tools include
purchasing long-term Treasury securities, purchasing
agency debt and mortgage-backed securities and
implementing the TALF, which could promote credit
extension to households and small businesses. Given
that the rate is essentially zero, UBS economists
feel like this was as aggressive as the Fed could
get. The FOMC decision came after a record monthly
decline in the CPI and a mixed start to the Q4
earnings season. CPI was -1.7%m/m (cons -1.3%) as
weak energy prices and a weak core CPI (0.0%m/m, cons
0.1%) drove down the reading. In corporate news, a
major US bank missed earnings but a large retailer
managed to beat expectations. With downbeat
expectations for earnings season, there is a greater
chance of surprising results to the upside. The
automaker story continues, with press reports
suggesting the Big Three may yet be given access to
TARP funds. However, for the automakers to receive
more than the $15bn left under the first tranche of
TARP, the Bush administration will likely have to
make concessions with Congress in order to access the
second tranche. In other news, OPEC will discuss
production cuts when it meets today, with reports
suggesting a cut of about 2 million barrels per day.
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USD - No Buyers In Sight
12/09/07 20:56
With No USD buyers in sight, we may see price
stabilization or pullback ahead of Firday's data and
next weeks FOMC. Read
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